Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.660201 0.779137 0.908223 1.058110 1.226712 1.409859 1.623187
2025-07-13 0.465289 0.627605 0.821786 1.068046 1.368674 1.720324 2.159093
2025-07-20 0.341608 0.522764 0.759724 1.084336 1.508708 2.035569 2.729066
2025-07-27 0.254504 0.439633 0.702830 1.089123 1.624792 2.323657 3.284279
2025-08-03 0.184967 0.361314 0.633495 1.059943 1.684087 2.535139 3.749833
2025-08-10 0.141906 0.311311 0.593253 1.061254 1.778653 2.793655 4.287744
2025-08-17 0.104370 0.259279 0.538148 1.028694 1.815408 2.968419 4.715502
2025-08-24 0.082055 0.228596 0.511611 1.035096 1.907250 3.223290 5.264931
2025-08-31 0.063528 0.199495 0.481514 1.029582 1.976754 3.445864 5.775513
2025-09-07 0.053586 0.186400 0.478715 1.069940 2.121744 3.788493 6.476576
2025-09-14 0.044233 0.171424 0.468988 1.095427 2.242146 4.097550 7.138908
2025-09-21 0.033494 0.148283 0.437154 1.074270 2.279084 4.274638 7.605347
2025-09-28 0.026995 0.135180 0.425826 1.093396 2.391370 4.584039 8.299307
2025-10-05 0.021407 0.122348 0.412589 1.107155 2.495416 4.886411 8.997504
2025-10-12 0.017087 0.111656 0.402267 1.125481 2.608891 5.209934 9.742727
2025-10-19 0.013216 0.100192 0.387175 1.131097 2.697959 5.495602 10.437273
2025-10-26 0.009308 0.085227 0.358359 1.101329 2.714999 5.656631 10.932813
2025-11-02 0.007006 0.076106 0.343999 1.102808 2.793123 5.926960 11.617769
2025-11-09 0.004714 0.064126 0.317001 1.069305 2.796409 6.062717 12.080212
2025-11-16 0.003520 0.057825 0.306755 1.075927 2.882589 6.350647 12.808722
2025-11-23 0.002494 0.051049 0.292639 1.070253 2.941584 6.590429 13.461596
2025-11-30 0.002061 0.049088 0.296000 1.111854 3.105597 7.031514 14.476258
2025-12-07 0.001605 0.045971 0.293925 1.138120 3.237208 7.416356 15.403327